|India 2020: A Vision for the New Millenium, A.P.J. Abdul Kalam and Y. S. Rajan. Viking.|
The book contains a wealth of data; also many projections. It should be useful for convincing most of us that we have to start running even if we want to stay where we are. There are imaginative projections of our requirements, our resources and strengths, also some lacunae and weaknesses. Superposed on descriptions of the opportunities we have missed, and things we could have done differently, is the sentiment that now we know better. The book is infused with a can do feeling. Even if this optimistic tone is more a reflection of the authors enthusiasm than anything else, I am partial to such a stance.
After scanning through the book several times I am left with the exhortation that we need to move and achieve, and that if only we will we shall get there. There may not be a full consensus about where to go, but we still can get there. By 2020 we will need twice as much in food grains, four times the present milk production, two and a half times the present edible oil production, five times the present production of fruits, three times the vegetables, etc. but we can and will get there. Our strengths in raw materials and areas of technology are pointed out. We should and can become leaders in aluminum production. We can and should do a lot more with titanium and titanium alloys, also in rare earths and metals like neodymium and its alloys. Persuasive lists of programs and projects which need to be taken up and ways of doing them are presented. The need for human resources development is also recognized, through perhaps not with as much passion as that for development of technology.
Whenever I feel that some of the basic reasons for our present state
are not addressed in this unusual book, I turn some pages and I do find a sentence or two
which shows an awareness in this regard. It was perhaps beyond the mandate of the various
task forces set up for this purpose to examine why, for example, in the last fifty years
we could not put all our children in school and retain them there, why could we not
abolish child labour, or enforce land reforms, in all parts of the country while, on the
other hand, we were able to design and build satellites, rockets and missiles, some
nuclear reactors, even a few explosions, and do reasonably well in areas like
pharmaceuticals, milk and fruit production, even food grains and oil seeds. Most of what
is said in this book was not unknown, though it is good to see it all together, and that
too mounted in an optimistic frame. I remember the report of the steering committee for
science and technology produced for the 7th plan in 1983. That was also an optimistic
report, perhaps without the benefit of the extensive work of the task forces like the book
in question. That was also full of enthusiasm and insightful suggestions about the areas
in which Indian science and technology could expend its efforts with profit. Some things
might have happened after that but not a great deal. What has changed since then which can
make us more optimistic? Many, including the authors of this book, might argue that having
entered the era of liberalization and free market since 1991, stilted governmental
planning will no longer act as a brake
indeed despite protestations to the contrary, planning is no longer seen as a significant requirement for developing capabilities, infrastructure or new technology. It is argued that eclipse of planning would bring in enthusiastic entrepreneurs who were earlier stymied by the so-called permit quota raj. I personally doubt that these free warriors will be much attracted to many of the programs outlined in the book under review. Or, for that matter, in any other book unless the government acts as a catalyst. I do not see, for example, an industry, on its own, getting into research and development of titanium alloys and their multifarious applications. Our industry is caught up with the low end mass consumer goods, mostly with foreign collaborations, to copy and market durable consumer items already current abroad and, therefore, with established foreign brand names. Little do they realize that what is already current is, for that very reason, on its way out. We have somewhat accelerated our pace of chasing. In the present day world those who only chase, no matter how fast, are doomed to be left further and further behind. This is how the new freedom is beginning to be used. Not one of the enthusiastic chasers or collaborators dare proudly announce a product with a claim that it is new and unique and should be bought because it is based on superior Indian technology. They do, on the other hand, proudly declare that what they are hawking is a direct kin of American, German, French, Japanese, Italian or Korean technology. Our markets may be flooded with TV sets, VCRs, washing machines, refrigerators, air conditioners, motor cars, scooters, even computers and cellular telephones, many of them assembled here, but few of them, if any, based on the know-how generated in the country. So how can we tell the outsiders that here is a special product from India which is superior in such and such a way to anything they have got. Most things we export are exportable because of the special skills and cheap labour of the poor of this country. This is true of garments, handicrafts, jewelry, gems and, sometimes, vegetables, fruits and, of course, tea and basmati rice. In addition, we do export our raw natural resources and in the process lay waste our land and even the lives of our people, often tribals, who inhabit the areas around, or down stream. This state of affairs and the currently dominant urge of our industry is unlikely to change for several decades, perhaps not by the year 2020, because the mass of people aspiring to the so-called middle class way of living in advertising language, as the world lives is enormous; there might be enough of a market available till that time. I personally doubt that we can go even this way, because the growing disparities will rip this country apart; a few signs of this are already visible.
There are two equally dangerous passions visible in our society today. One of them is revivalist; it negates the history of how India came to be India. The other, so-called modern, would push us into a dependent version of globalization. In this we try to import pale copies of modernity for a small fraction of our people. This also requires that we would borrow dreams, ways of living, and all techniques and technologies from abroad, usually disregarding, or discriminating against, innovations in our own society. Let us look at a few examples of the last few decades:
Very few people know that India was the first country to develop and use small parabolic chicken mesh dishes and home-designed low noise amplifiers to receive and use satellite television at thousands of habitations in rural India. This was in 1975. After that there was a veritable explosion of satellite TV around the world, but none of the Indian industries thought that they could develop a large lead in this area, accelerating simultaneously the pace of research and development in the field. The space agency thought it was outside their mandate, the industry kept waiting for developments to occur abroad after all an Indian development could not be that significant. Similarly, what was the point of taking the challenge of developing Indias first Intelsat station in India, or several earth stations of ISRO, including those for the master control facility for INSAT. All these stations were made at a cost much less than import, and all of them have performed exceedingly well. Why did this not lead to the growth of a vibrant industry designing and selling earth stations all over the world? We are setting up hundreds of V-SATs in our country and thousands are working all over the world. We had a lead in this area too but we wasted it, because our industry remained mostly licensed producers, not innovators with guts to see value and a future in things which had originated here. Kalam and Rajan have again talked about titanium. I say again because we have been talking about it for years. But no industrialist comes in to do something about making specialized systems and components to sell within the country and abroad. We developed large area plastic scintillators in 195859. No effort was made to develop a variety of products using scintillators, in the country or abroad. We have done some of the best work on liquid crystals in our country. How come no liquid crystal display systems are produced here? Surely this is something which should have been done by an industry along with a supporting laboratory of its own. I could expand on such examples greatly but it is not necessary here. I only want to make the point that development of technology, even very new technology, in the country will not make India a leader in any field unless our industry begins to develop and use our own technology. That is a different agenda, perhaps not adequately addressed in the book under review. It is interesting to note that that we have been able to progress well only in those areas where import of technology has been denied to us!
We are all proud of what we have been able to accomplish in fields such as space, atomic energy, and some areas of computer technology, besides agriculture and pharmaceuticals. These belong in the front ranks of modern day technology. It is paradoxical that we should have done rather well in such areas, but cannot show anything radically new in other open technological areas. Our industry, public or private, has produced few products which the world seeks from us because it finds them distinct, new or superior. On the other hand, there is still demand for our crafts, jewelry, carpets, handicrafts and, of course, our music and dance. None of these are marketed, designed or produced by highly-qualified managers, designers or engineers. Most of these unique contributions come from outside of our formal system systems implanted in the country in our quest for modernity. Indeed, it would be unfortunate if the future greatness of India, whenever it comes, by the year 2020 or earlier, is measured along the same dimensions and using the same scales as current in the presently designated developed world. Such a remark puts me in danger of being dubbed as a revivalist anti-modern, anti-progress, anti-science and anti-technology. I would strongly refute such a charge. In fact I would like to seek higher levels of science and technology where, more and more, the economically desirable and socially compatible, energizes our quest for technological solutions. Technology should serve society and not the other way around. This would be a higher level of modernity, even if it is not congruent with the wash of globalization so fashionable today. We do have a different topology. I hope we will not lose it completely.
It was not the purpose of the book under review to outline the processes through which the energies of this country can be released. Only in a few mission areas, where the focus is central and effort is nationally directed, sometimes by a mega-corporation, well-defined ends can be achieved. Most other things emerge out of a bubbling society, enthusiastic and competent, the competence being self-assessed, not certified. We need to move away from management and administrative enthusiasms for recognizing only that which can be certified. Certification, by definition tends to favour those who conform to already established patterns and levels. Only mediocrity can be so certified not that which is new or revolutionary. True, everything new is not worth having, but when it is, even if rarely, it matters more than an enormous amount of mediocrity.
I have come to the conclusion that hidden in the folds of our society there is tremendous innovation, a talent which does not pass the filters of conventional certification and is not given the chance to inter-mingle with information, knowledge and analytical world of modern science and technology. A tribal child should not to be plucked out of his intimacy with plants and herbs, forests and animals or music and dance and yet should be able to learn about quantum mechanics, computer science and biotechnology. Such a person will be far more creative than the one who is regimented into believing that perceptions outside the classroom or laboratory are not relevant to learning and discovery. We have tended to build a society in which learning through primal intimacies has been removed from the formal streams. The making of a desirable India of the 21st century would need such an amalgam, a seamless connection between the rich and diverse subterranean systems of learning still current in our society and the formal systems we have instituted and recognize. I believe it can happen. It will involve all that Kalam and Rajan have dreamt, and a lot more. After all we are talking of India.
This book by Kalam with Rajan is no ordinary book. It will excite, provoke and even annoy a lot of people. That is why it should be in all libraries and on the desk of everyone who dreams about the future of India. Even the controversy it generates would be valuable.
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